905 WTNT80 EGRR 050409 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.11.2022 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.7N 95.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.11.2022 19.7N 95.2W WEAK 12UTC 05.11.2022 19.0N 96.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.11.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 31.6N 54.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.11.2022 31.6N 54.0W WEAK 00UTC 06.11.2022 31.7N 54.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.11.2022 31.5N 55.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.11.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 36.3N 57.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.11.2022 36.3N 57.4W WEAK 12UTC 08.11.2022 39.0N 52.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.11.2022 41.2N 43.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.11.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 27.5N 71.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.11.2022 27.5N 71.5W WEAK 00UTC 09.11.2022 26.4N 74.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.11.2022 26.4N 76.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.11.2022 26.3N 78.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.11.2022 27.8N 81.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.11.2022 28.8N 83.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 050409