256 WTNT80 EGRR 041611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 04.11.2022 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LISA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.5N 94.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 04.11.2022 18.5N 94.5W WEAK 00UTC 05.11.2022 19.4N 95.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.11.2022 19.0N 96.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.11.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 31.8N 53.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.11.2022 31.8N 53.7W WEAK 00UTC 06.11.2022 31.3N 54.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.11.2022 31.7N 55.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.11.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 26.1N 71.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.11.2022 26.0N 72.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 09.11.2022 25.3N 74.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.11.2022 26.2N 75.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.11.2022 27.0N 78.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.11.2022 28.5N 80.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 041611