632 
WTNT80 EGRR 310410

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.10.2022

        TROPICAL STORM 15L        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.7N  74.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 31.10.2022  15.7N  74.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 31.10.2022  15.6N  76.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2022  16.4N  78.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2022  17.2N  81.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2022  17.8N  84.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2022  17.6N  86.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2022  17.4N  88.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 34.9N  62.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 31.10.2022  34.9N  62.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 31.10.2022  33.9N  63.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.11.2022  33.4N  60.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.11.2022  33.7N  57.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.11.2022  33.3N  56.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.11.2022  32.5N  54.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 10.9N  79.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.11.2022  10.9N  79.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.11.2022  11.1N  78.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2022  11.8N  77.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 310410