516 
WTNT80 EGRR 180411

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 18.10.2022

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 36.4N  42.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.10.2022  36.4N  42.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 20.10.2022  33.5N  39.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2022  32.5N  35.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.10.2022  31.3N  36.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2022  30.4N  40.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2022  29.7N  46.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2022  28.5N  49.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2022  29.1N  52.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2022  28.9N  55.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 17.0N 107.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.10.2022  17.3N 108.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.10.2022  17.5N 109.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.10.2022  19.0N 109.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.10.2022  20.3N 108.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.10.2022  22.7N 108.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 180411