759 WTNT80 EGRR 170409 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 17.10.2022 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 34.0N 32.3E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.10.2022 34.0N 32.3E WEAK 00UTC 18.10.2022 34.2N 31.2E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.10.2022 33.6N 30.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.10.2022 33.3N 30.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.10.2022 33.4N 31.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.10.2022 33.6N 33.1E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.10.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 32.7N 34.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.10.2022 32.7N 34.4W WEAK 00UTC 21.10.2022 31.3N 32.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.10.2022 29.8N 32.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.10.2022 29.3N 31.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2022 28.6N 31.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2022 28.3N 31.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 17.5N 108.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.10.2022 17.5N 108.8W WEAK 00UTC 22.10.2022 17.7N 109.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.10.2022 19.0N 108.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.10.2022 20.8N 108.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 170409