405 
WTNT80 EGRR 141614

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.10.2022

        TROPICAL STORM KARL       ANALYSED POSITION : 19.9N  92.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.10.2022  19.9N  92.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 15.10.2022  19.1N  92.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2022  18.9N  93.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 35.2N  27.7E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.10.2022  35.2N  27.7E     WEAK
 00UTC 16.10.2022  34.5N  27.2E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2022  32.7N  28.6E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2022  32.6N  30.4E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 141614