229 
WTNT80 EGRR 140411

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 14.10.2022

        TROPICAL STORM KARL       ANALYSED POSITION : 20.8N  92.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.10.2022  20.8N  92.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 14.10.2022  20.0N  92.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2022  19.0N  92.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2022  18.4N  93.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 35.5N  34.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.10.2022  35.2N  31.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 140411