482 
WTNT80 EGRR 051611

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.10.2022

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L        ANALYSED POSITION : 11.9N  62.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.10.2022  11.9N  62.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAINE      ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 114.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.10.2022  18.0N 114.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.10.2022  18.2N 114.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 12L        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N  31.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.10.2022  15.8N  31.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 36.2N  65.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 06.10.2022  37.5N  62.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2022  42.5N  57.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2022  45.9N  52.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2022  49.1N  46.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2022  53.1N  35.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.10.2022  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 13.2N  80.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.10.2022  13.2N  80.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.10.2022  12.9N  82.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.10.2022  12.7N  83.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 051611