230 
WTNT80 EGRR 021622

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.10.2022

             HURRICANE ORLENE     ANALYSED POSITION : 19.4N 107.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.10.2022  19.4N 107.1W   INTENSE
 00UTC 03.10.2022  21.0N 106.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.10.2022  22.3N 106.3W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98E        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.2N 112.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP982022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.10.2022  14.2N 112.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.10.2022  14.7N 112.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2022  15.0N 112.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2022  15.3N 113.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2022  15.7N 113.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2022  15.9N 114.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2022  16.2N 115.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2022  17.0N 115.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2022  17.2N 116.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2022  17.4N 117.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2022  17.6N 119.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2022  17.2N 121.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 37.4N  73.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.10.2022  37.4N  73.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 06.10.2022  37.1N  71.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2022  37.5N  67.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2022  37.7N  65.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.10.2022  38.8N  62.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2022  40.5N  60.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.10.2022  42.3N  58.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 021622