613 WTNT80 EGRR 221611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 22.09.2022 HURRICANE FIONA ANALYSED POSITION : 28.1N 70.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.09.2022 28.1N 70.6W INTENSE 00UTC 23.09.2022 30.8N 69.0W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.09.2022 34.1N 65.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.09.2022 41.4N 60.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.09.2022 46.5N 60.5W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.09.2022 49.2N 59.8W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 25.09.2022 52.4N 58.3W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 26.09.2022 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM NEWTON ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 107.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.09.2022 17.7N 107.9W WEAK 00UTC 23.09.2022 18.3N 109.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 18.2N 110.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM GASTON ANALYSED POSITION : 40.6N 34.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.09.2022 40.6N 34.9W MODERATE 00UTC 23.09.2022 41.1N 31.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 40.6N 29.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2022 39.2N 29.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.09.2022 38.2N 30.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.09.2022 38.3N 32.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2022 38.8N 35.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 38.6N 37.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2022 38.6N 38.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99L ANALYSED POSITION : 10.5N 35.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL992022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.09.2022 10.5N 35.0W WEAK 00UTC 23.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N 65.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.09.2022 12.0N 65.3W WEAK 00UTC 23.09.2022 13.2N 66.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 13.9N 69.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 15.2N 19.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 23.09.2022 15.2N 19.3W WEAK 12UTC 23.09.2022 17.6N 20.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2022 17.7N 21.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2022 20.3N 21.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2022 21.6N 21.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2022 22.5N 21.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 22.6N 20.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 15.5N 75.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.09.2022 15.5N 75.0W WEAK 12UTC 25.09.2022 16.5N 77.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 18.7N 79.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2022 20.7N 81.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2022 23.0N 83.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2022 24.2N 84.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2022 25.2N 84.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2022 26.3N 85.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 15.0N 40.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.09.2022 15.0N 40.1W WEAK 00UTC 27.09.2022 14.6N 40.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2022 14.2N 40.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2022 14.9N 40.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.09.2022 16.4N 39.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 221611