819 WTNT80 EGRR 211611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.09.2022 HURRICANE FIONA ANALYSED POSITION : 24.2N 71.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2022 24.2N 71.7W INTENSE 00UTC 22.09.2022 25.9N 71.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.09.2022 28.3N 70.7W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2022 30.8N 69.4W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 34.2N 65.8W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.09.2022 41.0N 60.5W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.09.2022 45.9N 62.1W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.09.2022 47.9N 61.6W INTENSE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 25.09.2022 50.6N 60.5W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 26.09.2022 53.8N 58.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM GASTON ANALYSED POSITION : 38.0N 42.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2022 38.0N 42.6W WEAK 00UTC 22.09.2022 38.9N 39.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2022 40.3N 35.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2022 41.1N 31.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 40.4N 28.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2022 39.1N 28.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2022 38.2N 28.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2022 37.3N 30.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2022 37.0N 32.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 36.9N 33.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2022 36.3N 35.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2022 35.4N 37.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2022 34.4N 39.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96E ANALYSED POSITION : 17.4N 104.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP962022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2022 17.4N 104.4W WEAK 00UTC 22.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 10.3N 60.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 21.09.2022 10.3N 60.0W WEAK 00UTC 22.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 21.4N 115.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2022 21.7N 115.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.09.2022 21.6N 117.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2022 21.1N 118.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 17.7N 16.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2022 17.7N 16.0W WEAK 12UTC 22.09.2022 16.6N 18.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2022 15.9N 19.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 15.9N 20.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2022 17.8N 22.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2022 18.3N 22.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2022 19.0N 23.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2022 19.7N 23.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 31.2N 171.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2022 30.3N 172.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2022 28.1N 174.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2022 26.5N 175.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 25.6N 177.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2022 26.0N 177.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2022 26.4N 177.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2022 27.5N 177.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 15.0N 74.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.09.2022 15.0N 74.7W WEAK 12UTC 25.09.2022 15.6N 76.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 16.9N 78.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2022 19.3N 80.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2022 21.9N 80.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2022 24.2N 81.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 211611