649 WTNT80 EGRR 201612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 20.09.2022 HURRICANE FIONA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.6N 71.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.09.2022 21.6N 71.4W MODERATE 00UTC 21.09.2022 22.8N 72.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2022 23.9N 72.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2022 25.6N 71.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.09.2022 28.0N 70.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.09.2022 30.8N 69.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.09.2022 33.9N 66.6W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.09.2022 40.3N 61.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 24.09.2022 46.1N 61.0W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 25.09.2022 49.0N 59.7W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 25.09.2022 52.5N 58.1W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 26.09.2022 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08L ANALYSED POSITION : 32.4N 45.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.09.2022 32.4N 45.3W WEAK 00UTC 21.09.2022 34.8N 44.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2022 37.2N 41.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2022 38.9N 38.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2022 39.6N 35.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2022 39.7N 32.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 39.2N 30.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2022 38.6N 31.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION MADELINE ANALYSED POSITION : 20.9N 111.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.09.2022 20.9N 111.4W WEAK 00UTC 21.09.2022 21.3N 112.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.09.2022 21.5N 114.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2022 21.8N 115.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2022 21.9N 117.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2022 21.3N 118.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 21.2N 120.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2022 20.9N 122.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2022 21.0N 124.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 10.2N 55.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.09.2022 10.2N 55.2W WEAK 00UTC 21.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 17.2N 16.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2022 17.2N 16.0W WEAK 12UTC 22.09.2022 16.0N 18.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2022 16.6N 18.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 18.5N 20.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2022 19.1N 22.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2022 20.8N 23.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2022 21.5N 23.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2022 23.5N 22.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 23.4N 22.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 35.8N 31.6E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2022 35.8N 31.6E WEAK 12UTC 22.09.2022 36.4N 29.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2022 36.4N 31.4E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2022 36.4N 29.8E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2022 36.1N 31.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2022 36.1N 33.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 30.9N 172.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 24.09.2022 29.3N 174.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2022 27.2N 174.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2022 25.9N 176.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 24.5N 178.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2022 26.0N 178.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 37.8N 2.1E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 25.09.2022 37.8N 2.1E WEAK 12UTC 25.09.2022 41.5N 4.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 42.4N 5.9E WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.9N 76.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.09.2022 14.2N 77.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2022 14.6N 79.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2022 15.6N 80.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 201611