862 WTNT80 EGRR 150411 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.09.2022 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIONA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.4N 51.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2022 16.4N 51.4W WEAK 12UTC 15.09.2022 16.4N 53.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2022 16.7N 56.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2022 17.0N 58.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2022 17.5N 61.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2022 17.8N 64.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2022 18.0N 66.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2022 18.6N 67.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2022 18.8N 68.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2022 19.8N 69.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.09.2022 20.5N 71.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2022 21.1N 72.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2022 22.0N 72.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94E ANALYSED POSITION : 15.3N 107.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP942022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2022 15.3N 107.6W WEAK 12UTC 15.09.2022 15.3N 106.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2022 15.3N 107.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2022 14.9N 108.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2022 14.7N 109.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2022 15.0N 110.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2022 15.7N 111.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2022 16.0N 111.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2022 16.7N 112.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2022 17.6N 111.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2022 18.6N 111.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2022 20.1N 112.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2022 21.5N 112.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.4N 95.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2022 12.4N 95.3W WEAK 12UTC 15.09.2022 12.6N 94.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.09.2022 13.2N 96.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.09.2022 13.6N 97.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2022 14.4N 98.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2022 15.7N 99.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2022 16.9N 102.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 30.7N 76.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.09.2022 31.3N 74.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.09.2022 33.2N 72.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.09.2022 34.2N 68.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.09.2022 34.0N 65.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.09.2022 32.5N 64.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.09.2022 32.4N 63.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.09.2022 33.0N 61.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 11.4N 138.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 19.09.2022 11.4N 138.3W WEAK 12UTC 19.09.2022 12.7N 138.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.09.2022 13.7N 138.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.09.2022 14.2N 138.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.09.2022 14.4N 140.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 150411