827 WTNT80 EGRR 031612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 03.09.2022 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER ANALYSED POSITION : 24.7N 114.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.09.2022 24.7N 114.4W MODERATE 00UTC 04.09.2022 26.4N 116.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2022 27.3N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2022 27.8N 121.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2022 28.1N 124.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM EARL ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N 62.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.09.2022 19.0N 62.1W WEAK 00UTC 04.09.2022 18.7N 63.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2022 19.8N 65.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2022 20.3N 66.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2022 21.2N 67.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2022 21.7N 67.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2022 22.1N 68.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2022 22.3N 68.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2022 22.8N 67.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2022 22.8N 67.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2022 23.3N 66.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2022 23.9N 66.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2022 25.1N 65.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 38.0N 44.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.09.2022 38.0N 44.1W MODERATE 00UTC 04.09.2022 38.1N 44.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2022 38.3N 45.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2022 38.7N 45.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2022 39.4N 44.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2022 40.0N 43.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2022 40.9N 41.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2022 42.0N 39.6W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2022 42.5N 37.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2022 43.4N 34.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2022 43.9N 32.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2022 43.6N 28.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.09.2022 43.0N 25.3W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.7N 96.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 03.09.2022 12.7N 96.2W WEAK 00UTC 04.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 15.2N 104.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2022 15.2N 104.1W WEAK 12UTC 05.09.2022 15.8N 106.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2022 15.8N 108.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2022 16.1N 110.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2022 17.3N 111.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2022 19.0N 113.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2022 20.3N 115.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2022 21.6N 116.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2022 22.8N 117.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2022 23.6N 118.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 18.5N 42.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.09.2022 18.5N 42.9W WEAK 12UTC 09.09.2022 20.1N 45.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 10.0N 26.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2022 10.0N 29.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 12.3N 171.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2022 12.3N 171.9W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 031612