556 WTNT80 EGRR 021612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 02.09.2022 TROPICAL STORM JAVIER ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N 112.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2022 20.5N 112.1W MODERATE 00UTC 03.09.2022 22.2N 113.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2022 24.2N 114.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2022 26.0N 116.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2022 27.0N 119.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2022 28.1N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE DANIELLE ANALYSED POSITION : 37.9N 43.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL052022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2022 37.9N 43.6W MODERATE 00UTC 03.09.2022 37.8N 43.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2022 38.0N 44.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2022 37.8N 45.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2022 38.0N 45.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2022 38.3N 45.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2022 38.9N 44.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2022 39.8N 43.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2022 41.1N 42.0W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2022 41.9N 41.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2022 42.8N 40.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2022 44.1N 38.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2022 46.7N 36.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 18.9N 27.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2022 18.9N 27.3W WEAK 00UTC 03.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N 94.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2022 13.0N 94.5W WEAK 00UTC 03.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L ANALYSED POSITION : 17.2N 57.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 02.09.2022 17.2N 57.1W WEAK 00UTC 03.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 14.3N 101.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 05.09.2022 14.9N 103.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 05.09.2022 15.3N 105.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2022 15.7N 107.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2022 16.4N 109.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2022 18.5N 111.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2022 20.0N 113.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2022 21.6N 115.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2022 23.2N 116.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 20.1N 37.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2022 21.1N 38.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 08.09.2022 22.5N 40.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2022 24.8N 40.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 36.9N 63.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 08.09.2022 36.2N 61.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2022 35.5N 57.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 021612