406 WTNT80 EGRR 301612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.08.2022 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N 48.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.08.2022 14.8N 48.3W WEAK 00UTC 31.08.2022 15.6N 49.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2022 15.8N 50.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2022 16.3N 51.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2022 17.5N 53.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2022 18.0N 55.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2022 18.9N 57.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2022 19.1N 60.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2022 19.3N 62.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 15.5N 18.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 04.09.2022 15.8N 19.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2022 16.6N 22.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2022 18.0N 24.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2022 18.7N 27.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 21.0N 70.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2022 21.6N 71.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 301612