550 WTNT80 EGRR 271611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 27.08.2022 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 14.2N 44.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 29.08.2022 13.7N 45.0W WEAK 12UTC 29.08.2022 13.2N 46.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2022 12.8N 46.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2022 13.2N 46.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2022 13.8N 47.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2022 14.7N 49.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2022 15.5N 49.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2022 16.4N 52.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2022 16.7N 54.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2022 17.8N 56.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 36.4N 55.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2022 36.3N 56.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2022 36.6N 55.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2022 38.2N 55.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 20.0N 17.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.08.2022 20.0N 17.4W WEAK 12UTC 31.08.2022 21.7N 19.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2022 23.6N 22.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2022 26.1N 25.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.09.2022 26.7N 27.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 42.5N 14.1E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.09.2022 43.8N 15.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2022 44.0N 25.8E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 271611