388 
WTNT80 EGRR 121610

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.07.2022

             HURRICANE DARBY      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 129.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.07.2022  14.7N 129.1W   INTENSE
 00UTC 13.07.2022  14.7N 131.7W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 13.07.2022  15.1N 134.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.07.2022  15.8N 137.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.07.2022  16.4N 139.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.07.2022  16.9N 142.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.07.2022  17.0N 144.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.07.2022  17.0N 147.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.07.2022  16.8N 150.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 17.0N 109.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.07.2022  17.3N 109.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.07.2022  18.6N 111.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 121610