035 WTNT80 EGRR 101610 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.07.2022 TROPICAL STORM DARBY ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 117.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.07.2022 14.5N 117.7W WEAK 00UTC 11.07.2022 14.7N 120.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.07.2022 14.8N 124.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.07.2022 15.1N 127.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.07.2022 15.3N 130.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.07.2022 15.5N 132.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2022 16.0N 135.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2022 16.4N 138.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.07.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 35.9N 67.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.07.2022 36.8N 65.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.07.2022 37.2N 61.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.07.2022 38.4N 57.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.07.2022 41.1N 53.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.07.2022 42.7N 51.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.07.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 31.5N 90.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.07.2022 31.5N 90.4W WEAK 00UTC 16.07.2022 31.9N 90.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2022 32.8N 91.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101610