518 
WTNT80 EGRR 100409

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.07.2022

        TROPICAL STORM BONNIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 130.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.07.2022  19.5N 130.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.07.2022  19.5N 134.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM DARBY      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.6N 114.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.07.2022  14.6N 114.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.07.2022  14.8N 117.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2022  14.9N 121.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2022  15.0N 124.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2022  15.3N 127.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2022  15.4N 130.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2022  15.6N 133.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.07.2022  15.8N 136.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 34.2N  77.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.07.2022  34.2N  77.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.07.2022  34.0N  73.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2022  35.4N  68.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.07.2022  36.3N  63.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2022  38.1N  58.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2022  40.8N  54.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.07.2022  43.5N  51.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  18 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 38.3N  62.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.07.2022  38.7N  59.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2022  39.9N  53.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2022  41.5N  50.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2022  43.0N  47.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2022  47.2N  39.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 29.5N  88.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.07.2022  30.3N  88.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 15.07.2022  30.6N  87.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.07.2022  30.3N  87.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 11.4N 104.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.07.2022  11.4N 104.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.07.2022  12.7N 107.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.07.2022  13.3N 110.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100409