833 
WTNT80 EGRR 080412

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.07.2022

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95E        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 100.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP952022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.07.2022  12.1N 100.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE BONNIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 17.8N 116.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.07.2022  17.8N 116.2W   MODERATE
 12UTC 08.07.2022  18.3N 119.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.07.2022  18.8N 123.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2022  19.4N 127.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2022  19.5N 131.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2022  19.5N 135.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 36.8N  75.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.07.2022  36.5N  72.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.07.2022  35.8N  69.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2022  36.6N  65.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2022  38.9N  58.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2022  39.4N  56.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2022  42.8N  51.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  66 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 13.6N 121.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.07.2022  13.9N 123.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2022  14.0N 127.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2022  14.4N 130.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2022  14.7N 134.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2022  14.7N 137.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 080412