940 
WTNT80 EGRR 061620

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.07.2022

             HURRICANE BONNIE     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 108.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042022

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.07.2022  15.9N 108.7W    STRONG
 00UTC 07.07.2022  16.7N 111.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.07.2022  17.3N 113.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.07.2022  17.9N 116.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.07.2022  18.5N 120.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.07.2022  19.3N 124.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.07.2022  19.8N 128.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2022  19.9N 132.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2022  19.8N 136.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2022        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 38.8N  69.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.07.2022  38.8N  68.5W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 09.07.2022  40.5N  62.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2022  43.6N  52.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2022  46.5N  45.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2022  51.6N  36.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2022  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 36.0N  59.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.07.2022  36.0N  59.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.07.2022  33.4N  65.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2022  33.3N  63.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 40.5N  11.2E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.07.2022  40.5N  11.2E     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 061620