729 WTNT80 EGRR 051611 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.07.2022 HURRICANE BONNIE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N 104.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP042022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.07.2022 14.8N 104.0W INTENSE 00UTC 06.07.2022 15.6N 106.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.07.2022 16.2N 109.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.07.2022 16.6N 111.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.07.2022 16.9N 114.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.07.2022 17.4N 117.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.07.2022 17.9N 120.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.07.2022 18.5N 124.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 09.07.2022 18.9N 128.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.07.2022 19.0N 132.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.07.2022 19.1N 136.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.07.2022 19.2N 139.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.07.2022 19.2N 143.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 35.2N 61.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.07.2022 35.4N 60.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 051611