471 WTNT80 EGRR 310408 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 31.05.2022 HURRICANE AGATHA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 96.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP012022 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 31.05.2022 15.8N 96.6W MODERATE 12UTC 31.05.2022 17.2N 95.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.06.2022 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 18.7N 87.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.06.2022 19.4N 87.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.06.2022 21.6N 86.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.06.2022 23.1N 85.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.06.2022 24.0N 84.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.06.2022 25.9N 82.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.06.2022 27.5N 80.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.06.2022 32.3N 76.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 310408