612 
WTNT80 EGRR 120402

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.11.2021

        TROPICAL STORM BLAS       ANALYSED POSITION : 38.9N   2.1E

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : ME022021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.11.2021  38.9N   2.1E     WEAK
 12UTC 12.11.2021  38.0N   3.3E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.11.2021  38.7N   4.7E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2021  39.1N   3.8E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2021  38.4N   3.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2021  37.4N   4.9E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM 96L        ANALYSED POSITION : 46.1N  38.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL962021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.11.2021  46.1N  38.0W    STRONG
 12UTC 12.11.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 30.6N  34.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.11.2021  30.6N  34.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.11.2021  28.2N  35.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2021  27.5N  33.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2021  28.0N  35.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2021  27.5N  35.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 120402