272 WTNT80 EGRR 251600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 25.10.2021 HURRICANE RICK ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 102.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.10.2021 18.1N 102.1W WEAK 00UTC 26.10.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 10.8N 113.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 27.10.2021 10.8N 113.2W WEAK 12UTC 27.10.2021 11.4N 113.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2021 11.4N 112.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2021 11.4N 111.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2021 11.1N 110.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.10.2021 10.6N 109.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.10.2021 10.4N 108.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.10.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 10.6N 129.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 28.10.2021 10.6N 129.8W WEAK 00UTC 29.10.2021 10.3N 130.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.10.2021 9.6N 131.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.10.2021 9.3N 132.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.10.2021 9.2N 132.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.10.2021 9.2N 132.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.10.2021 9.2N 131.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 251600