033 
WTNT80 EGRR 240402

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 24.10.2021

             HURRICANE RICK       ANALYSED POSITION : 15.0N 101.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 24.10.2021  15.0N 101.9W    STRONG
 12UTC 24.10.2021  15.8N 101.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.10.2021  17.0N 101.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.10.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 10.8N 128.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 27.10.2021  10.8N 128.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 28.10.2021  11.3N 130.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.10.2021  11.9N 131.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.10.2021  11.9N 132.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 29.10.2021  11.5N 133.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2021  11.4N 134.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 10.2N 116.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 29.10.2021  10.2N 116.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 29.10.2021  10.0N 115.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 30.10.2021   9.6N 113.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 240401