314 WTNT80 EGRR 231601 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.10.2021 HURRICANE RICK ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 101.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.10.2021 14.4N 101.7W MODERATE 00UTC 24.10.2021 15.1N 102.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.10.2021 15.6N 102.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.10.2021 16.1N 102.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.10.2021 17.5N 102.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.10.2021 20.0N 105.4W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 26.10.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 34.4N 14.5E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 26.10.2021 34.6N 15.7E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.10.2021 34.9N 17.1E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.10.2021 35.4N 18.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.10.2021 36.9N 17.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.10.2021 38.2N 17.5E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 28.10.2021 40.6N 17.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2021 43.3N 16.1E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.10.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.3N 130.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.10.2021 11.7N 131.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.10.2021 12.4N 133.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.10.2021 12.5N 134.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.10.2021 12.5N 135.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 231601