249 
WTNT80 EGRR 220401

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.10.2021

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92E        ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N  98.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP922021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 22.10.2021  12.5N  98.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 22.10.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 14.3N 102.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.10.2021  14.3N 103.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 25.10.2021  14.4N 103.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.10.2021  14.8N 104.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.10.2021  15.5N 105.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.10.2021  16.6N 106.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.10.2021  17.3N 106.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.10.2021  17.7N 106.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.10.2021  18.0N 105.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 11.0N 131.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 28.10.2021  11.4N 132.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 220401