653 
WTNT80 EGRR 141559

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.10.2021

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 28.9N  49.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.10.2021  29.6N  46.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2021  31.9N  40.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.10.2021  35.2N  33.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.10.2021  40.8N  24.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.10.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 11.7N 125.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.10.2021  12.0N 126.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.10.2021  12.4N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.10.2021  14.5N 124.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 141559