478 
WTNT80 EGRR 101601

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.10.2021

        TROPICAL STORM 92L        ANALYSED POSITION : 33.9N  75.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.10.2021  33.9N  75.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.10.2021  34.7N  75.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2021  35.5N  74.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2021  36.1N  73.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2021  36.5N  72.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2021  35.8N  72.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 103.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.10.2021  15.2N 103.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.10.2021  16.3N 106.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.10.2021  16.5N 108.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2021  17.6N 109.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2021  19.1N 110.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2021  20.5N 109.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2021  22.2N 108.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2021  24.2N 107.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 31.4N  51.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.10.2021  31.4N  51.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.10.2021  31.1N  46.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2021  31.3N  41.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2021  32.8N  36.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2021  35.8N  32.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.5N 126.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.10.2021  13.9N 126.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.10.2021  14.2N 126.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2021  14.7N 126.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2021  15.0N 125.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 101601