640 WTNT80 EGRR 091601 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.10.2021 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 92L ANALYSED POSITION : 32.5N 74.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL922021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.10.2021 32.5N 74.9W WEAK 00UTC 10.10.2021 33.5N 75.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2021 34.5N 75.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2021 35.0N 75.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2021 36.1N 75.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2021 37.2N 74.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2021 38.0N 74.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2021 38.1N 74.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91E ANALYSED POSITION : 11.2N 96.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP912021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.10.2021 11.2N 96.8W WEAK 00UTC 10.10.2021 12.5N 98.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 36.0N 20.5E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.10.2021 38.6N 19.7E MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 15.3N 125.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.10.2021 15.3N 125.6W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 091601