595 
WTNT80 EGRR 291602

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 29.09.2021

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L        ANALYSED POSITION :  6.1N  27.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.09.2021   6.1N  27.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 30.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20L        ANALYSED POSITION :  8.8N  23.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL202021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.09.2021   8.8N  23.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 30.09.2021   9.2N  25.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2021   8.9N  27.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.10.2021   9.4N  29.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2021  10.5N  31.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2021  11.9N  32.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2021  13.6N  34.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2021  15.7N  35.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2021  17.8N  37.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2021  20.6N  39.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2021  23.8N  39.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2021  26.4N  40.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2021  29.3N  40.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             HURRICANE SAM        ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N  56.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL182021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.09.2021  19.0N  56.7W   INTENSE
 00UTC 30.09.2021  20.3N  58.1W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 30.09.2021  21.9N  59.6W   INTENSE    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 01.10.2021  24.2N  60.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.10.2021  27.2N  61.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.10.2021  30.2N  61.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2021  32.9N  60.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.10.2021  35.2N  58.4W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2021  36.4N  56.5W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2021  37.4N  53.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2021  39.2N  50.3W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2021  42.7N  45.0W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2021  47.8N  40.9W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION PETER      ANALYSED POSITION : 37.2N  55.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 29.09.2021  37.2N  55.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 30.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.3N 128.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.10.2021  13.7N 128.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.10.2021  14.5N 128.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2021  15.2N 128.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2021  15.2N 128.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 12.0N 139.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.10.2021  12.0N 139.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.10.2021  12.4N 140.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 291602