054 WTNT80 EGRR 210401 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.09.2021 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 9.8N 23.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.09.2021 9.8N 23.5W WEAK 12UTC 21.09.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ODETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 43.0N 46.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.09.2021 43.0N 46.4W MODERATE 12UTC 21.09.2021 40.3N 43.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.09.2021 39.3N 39.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2021 43.2N 38.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2021 44.7N 40.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2021 45.4N 42.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2021 44.7N 42.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2021 43.6N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2021 41.7N 39.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2021 38.6N 38.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ROSE ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 35.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL172021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.09.2021 19.5N 35.3W WEAK 12UTC 21.09.2021 21.7N 36.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2021 23.0N 37.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 22.09.2021 24.1N 38.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2021 25.5N 39.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2021 27.2N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2021 28.7N 41.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2021 29.9N 39.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2021 30.2N 36.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2021 31.1N 33.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.09.2021 32.6N 31.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2021 35.2N 30.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2021 35.9N 31.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM PETER ANALYSED POSITION : 19.5N 62.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL162021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.09.2021 19.5N 62.1W WEAK 12UTC 21.09.2021 20.6N 64.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.09.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 15.0N 118.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2021 15.0N 118.5W WEAK 12UTC 22.09.2021 16.5N 119.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2021 18.5N 121.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2021 20.0N 123.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2021 21.1N 125.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2021 21.9N 126.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2021 22.3N 128.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2021 22.5N 130.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2021 22.5N 131.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 23.1N 68.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.09.2021 23.8N 68.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2021 24.2N 67.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2021 25.0N 66.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2021 25.6N 65.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2021 26.4N 64.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2021 27.0N 63.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2021 27.9N 62.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2021 28.4N 62.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 11.0N 40.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.09.2021 11.0N 40.3W WEAK 12UTC 24.09.2021 11.7N 42.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2021 12.5N 45.0W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.09.2021 13.4N 46.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2021 13.9N 48.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.09.2021 14.2N 50.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2021 14.7N 51.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.6N 146.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 25.09.2021 14.4N 147.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2021 15.5N 148.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2021 16.0N 149.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2021 16.1N 150.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 210401