651 
WTNT80 EGRR 180403

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 18.09.2021

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICHOLAS   ANALYSED POSITION : 30.8N  92.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.09.2021  30.8N  92.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 18.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.8N  47.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.09.2021  13.8N  47.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 18.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM ODETTE     ANALYSED POSITION : 36.3N  71.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.09.2021  36.3N  71.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 18.09.2021  38.6N  68.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.09.2021  38.4N  65.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2021  40.3N  60.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.09.2021  42.8N  55.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2021  42.8N  52.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2021  42.8N  50.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.09.2021  41.1N  49.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.09.2021  40.1N  49.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2021  40.5N  49.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.09.2021  41.3N  49.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2021  42.7N  50.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2021  44.0N  50.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 11.7N 149.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.09.2021  11.7N 149.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.09.2021  11.9N 150.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.09.2021  12.3N 151.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2021  12.9N 152.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2021  13.7N 153.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2021  14.5N 154.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2021  15.0N 156.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 18.7N  59.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.09.2021  19.2N  60.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2021  20.7N  62.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.09.2021  22.2N  64.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.09.2021  23.9N  65.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2021  25.5N  66.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2021  27.0N  64.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2021  28.4N  63.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2021  29.5N  61.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 17.2N 122.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.09.2021  18.0N 124.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2021  19.9N 126.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2021  21.5N 128.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 180403