407 
WTNT80 EGRR 150401

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.09.2021

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 95L        ANALYSED POSITION :  9.9N  22.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL952021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.09.2021   9.9N  22.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96L        ANALYSED POSITION : 26.0N  71.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL962021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.09.2021  26.0N  71.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICHOLAS   ANALYSED POSITION : 29.9N  94.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.09.2021  29.9N  94.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.09.2021  30.5N  93.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2021  30.0N  93.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2021  29.5N  93.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 36.4N  68.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.09.2021  36.4N  68.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 19.09.2021  37.7N  65.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.09.2021  38.5N  63.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.09.2021  38.9N  63.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.09.2021  39.4N  63.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.9N 149.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 19.09.2021  12.3N 150.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.09.2021  12.5N 151.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.09.2021  13.3N 151.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.09.2021  13.9N 153.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 150401