907 WTNT80 EGRR 101602 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.09.2021 HURRICANE LARRY ANALYSED POSITION : 38.9N 61.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.09.2021 38.9N 61.6W STRONG 00UTC 11.09.2021 45.1N 56.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2021 52.3N 49.0W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 12.09.2021 POST-TROPICAL HURRICANE OLAF ANALYSED POSITION : 23.9N 111.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.09.2021 23.9N 111.1W STRONG 00UTC 11.09.2021 24.7N 112.7W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.09.2021 24.8N 113.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2021 24.5N 114.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2021 23.8N 115.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2021 23.1N 117.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2021 22.2N 118.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2021 21.7N 119.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2021 21.4N 120.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2021 20.9N 121.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 33.2N 71.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.09.2021 33.2N 71.9W WEAK 00UTC 11.09.2021 34.4N 67.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2021 35.0N 64.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101602