073 WTNT80 EGRR 011602 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.09.2021 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IDA ANALYSED POSITION : 38.1N 81.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2021 38.1N 81.3W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2021 39.5N 76.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2021 42.2N 69.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2021 44.8N 65.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2021 47.2N 63.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2021 48.6N 62.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2021 48.9N 63.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2021 47.0N 63.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 91L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.7N 80.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL912021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2021 12.7N 80.6W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM LARRY ANALYSED POSITION : 12.4N 26.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2021 12.4N 26.7W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2021 12.5N 30.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.09.2021 12.6N 34.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.09.2021 13.4N 38.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.09.2021 14.0N 41.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2021 15.2N 44.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.09.2021 16.6N 47.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 05.09.2021 18.8N 50.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2021 20.6N 52.5W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2021 22.5N 54.4W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2021 24.2N 56.3W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2021 25.9N 57.7W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2021 28.0N 58.9W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATE ANALYSED POSITION : 26.7N 52.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 01.09.2021 26.7N 52.3W WEAK 00UTC 02.09.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 16.3N 101.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.09.2021 16.3N 101.1W WEAK 12UTC 07.09.2021 16.1N 101.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 011602