686 
WTNT80 EGRR 301559

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.08.2021

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA       ANALYSED POSITION : 24.2N 108.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.08.2021  24.2N 108.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 31.08.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10L        ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1N  50.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.08.2021  21.1N  50.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 31.08.2021  22.3N  50.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2021  23.1N  50.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2021  24.5N  50.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2021  26.1N  51.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2021  28.0N  52.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM IDA        ANALYSED POSITION : 31.3N  91.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 30.08.2021  31.3N  91.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 31.08.2021  33.0N  90.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 31.08.2021  34.4N  88.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 01.09.2021  35.6N  85.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 01.09.2021  37.4N  82.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 02.09.2021  37.7N  79.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2021  38.9N  75.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2021  37.0N  74.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2021  37.4N  73.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2021  37.7N  72.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2021  37.7N  71.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2021  38.1N  71.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2021  38.2N  71.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.0N  24.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.09.2021  12.0N  24.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 01.09.2021  11.9N  29.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.09.2021  12.3N  33.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.09.2021  12.6N  36.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2021  13.9N  40.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2021  15.2N  43.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.09.2021  16.7N  46.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2021  18.1N  49.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2021  20.3N  51.8W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.09.2021  22.4N  54.4W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 301559