193 WTNT80 EGRR 261600 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 26.08.2021 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 99L ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N 78.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL992021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.08.2021 17.1N 78.5W WEAK 00UTC 27.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 97L ANALYSED POSITION : 31.8N 54.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL972021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.08.2021 31.8N 54.6W WEAK 00UTC 27.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.0N 40.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.08.2021 12.0N 40.5W WEAK 00UTC 27.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM NORA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N 99.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 26.08.2021 12.3N 99.6W WEAK 00UTC 27.08.2021 13.7N 102.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.08.2021 14.6N 105.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.08.2021 15.4N 106.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.08.2021 16.3N 107.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 29.08.2021 18.0N 107.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.08.2021 19.4N 107.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2021 21.6N 108.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.08.2021 22.7N 109.2W INTENSE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 31.08.2021 23.7N 109.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2021 24.7N 110.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2021 26.0N 111.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2021 28.0N 111.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 20.4N 82.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.08.2021 21.4N 83.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 28.08.2021 23.4N 86.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2021 25.2N 88.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 29.08.2021 27.0N 90.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 30.08.2021 28.8N 91.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 30.08.2021 30.0N 92.1W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2021 31.3N 91.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 31.08.2021 33.0N 90.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2021 34.2N 90.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.09.2021 34.4N 89.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 14.7N 47.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.08.2021 14.7N 47.1W WEAK 12UTC 28.08.2021 15.8N 47.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 29.08.2021 16.7N 47.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 29.08.2021 17.5N 48.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 30.08.2021 18.3N 48.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 30.08.2021 19.6N 48.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 34.4N 45.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.08.2021 35.2N 43.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 30.08.2021 36.7N 38.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 31.08.2021 38.6N 34.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 31.08.2021 41.1N 31.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.09.2021 45.0N 29.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.09.2021 48.9N 32.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 261600