652 WTNT80 EGRR 160359 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.08.2021 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96L ANALYSED POSITION : 33.4N 63.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL962021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.08.2021 33.4N 63.0W WEAK 12UTC 16.08.2021 32.2N 62.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2021 31.4N 63.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2021 30.8N 63.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.08.2021 30.8N 64.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2021 30.9N 66.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.08.2021 31.4N 67.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.08.2021 31.4N 69.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.08.2021 32.0N 69.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.08.2021 33.1N 68.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.08.2021 34.4N 67.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.08.2021 35.4N 63.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.08.2021 35.8N 59.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM FRED ANALYSED POSITION : 27.0N 86.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.08.2021 27.0N 86.1W WEAK 12UTC 16.08.2021 28.0N 86.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.08.2021 29.5N 86.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.08.2021 31.1N 85.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.08.2021 32.6N 85.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LINDA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.8N 121.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.08.2021 18.8N 121.7W STRONG 12UTC 16.08.2021 18.0N 123.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 17.08.2021 17.5N 125.3W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.08.2021 17.3N 127.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.08.2021 17.4N 129.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.08.2021 17.6N 131.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.08.2021 18.3N 134.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.08.2021 19.0N 137.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.08.2021 19.8N 140.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.08.2021 20.4N 144.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.08.2021 20.6N 147.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.08.2021 20.8N 149.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 22.08.2021 21.1N 151.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N 68.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.08.2021 16.5N 68.9W WEAK 12UTC 16.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 18.9N 81.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.08.2021 19.2N 82.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.08.2021 19.4N 86.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.08.2021 20.0N 88.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.08.2021 20.2N 92.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.08.2021 20.0N 94.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.08.2021 19.8N 96.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 160359