241 WTNT80 EGRR 090400 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.08.2021 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93E ANALYSED POSITION : 11.5N 95.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP932021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.08.2021 11.5N 95.1W WEAK 12UTC 09.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 93L ANALYSED POSITION : 14.6N 45.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL932021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.08.2021 14.6N 45.6W WEAK 12UTC 09.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N 55.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL942021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.08.2021 12.3N 55.6W WEAK 12UTC 09.08.2021 12.9N 57.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM KEVIN ANALYSED POSITION : 15.8N 110.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.08.2021 15.8N 110.1W MODERATE 12UTC 09.08.2021 16.5N 111.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.08.2021 17.8N 113.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.08.2021 18.4N 115.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.08.2021 19.1N 117.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.08.2021 19.7N 118.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.08.2021 20.6N 120.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.08.2021 21.4N 122.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.08.2021 22.2N 125.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.08.2021 23.2N 127.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.08.2021 24.2N 130.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.08.2021 25.3N 133.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.08.2021 26.4N 136.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 13.3N 100.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.08.2021 13.8N 101.5W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.08.2021 15.0N 103.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.08.2021 16.0N 106.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.08.2021 16.3N 109.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.08.2021 16.7N 111.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.08.2021 16.9N 113.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.08.2021 17.3N 115.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.08.2021 18.1N 117.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.08.2021 18.1N 119.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.08.2021 18.1N 122.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 16.3N 62.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.08.2021 16.3N 62.7W WEAK 00UTC 11.08.2021 17.4N 65.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.08.2021 18.1N 69.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.08.2021 18.9N 72.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.08.2021 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 42.7N 34.9E VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.08.2021 42.7N 34.9E WEAK 00UTC 12.08.2021 42.2N 35.0E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.08.2021 42.2N 35.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.08.2021 42.7N 35.9E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.08.2021 42.8N 35.6E WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.08.2021 43.4N 34.9E MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 14.08.2021 43.2N 33.0E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.08.2021 42.5N 32.2E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090400