961 
WTNT80 EGRR 171601

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.07.2021

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07E        ANALYSED POSITION : 16.9N 108.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.07.2021  16.9N 108.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.07.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE FELICIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 124.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062021

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.07.2021  14.5N 124.2W   INTENSE
 00UTC 18.07.2021  15.0N 126.0W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.07.2021  15.2N 127.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.07.2021  15.6N 129.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.07.2021  15.9N 131.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.07.2021  16.1N 133.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.07.2021  15.8N 135.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.07.2021  15.2N 138.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.07.2021  14.5N 140.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.07.2021  13.8N 143.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.07.2021  13.2N 145.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.07.2021  12.7N 148.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.07.2021  12.5N 151.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 17.5N 114.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 19.07.2021  17.5N 116.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.07.2021  17.8N 118.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.07.2021  18.1N 121.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2021  18.8N 124.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2021  19.2N 128.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.07.2021  19.2N 132.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.07.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171601