915 WTNT80 EGRR 141601 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.07.2021 TROPICAL STORM FELICIA ANALYSED POSITION : 14.1N 112.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062021 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.07.2021 14.1N 112.8W WEAK 00UTC 15.07.2021 14.7N 114.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.07.2021 15.1N 117.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.07.2021 15.3N 118.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.07.2021 15.0N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.07.2021 14.4N 122.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.07.2021 13.9N 124.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.07.2021 13.6N 126.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.07.2021 13.5N 128.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.07.2021 13.4N 130.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.07.2021 13.3N 132.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.07.2021 13.2N 134.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.07.2021 12.9N 136.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.7N 106.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.07.2021 14.7N 106.6W WEAK 12UTC 17.07.2021 16.1N 109.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.07.2021 17.0N 112.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.07.2021 17.5N 114.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.07.2021 18.2N 116.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.07.2021 18.9N 118.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.07.2021 19.0N 121.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.07.2021 19.2N 123.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 141601