521 
WTNT80 EGRR 101602

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.07.2021

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 10.6N  97.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.07.2021  10.6N  98.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.07.2021  11.5N 100.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.07.2021  12.3N 102.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.07.2021  13.0N 105.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.07.2021  13.9N 108.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.07.2021        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 :  9.8N  91.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.07.2021   9.8N  91.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 14.07.2021  10.5N  93.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.07.2021  11.5N  96.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.07.2021  12.3N  98.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.07.2021  13.2N 101.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.07.2021  14.2N 103.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 101602