958 
WTNT80 EGRR 150358

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.11.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98E        ANALYSED POSITION : 13.2N 107.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP982020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.11.2020  13.2N 107.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM THETA      ANALYSED POSITION : 31.4N  18.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL302020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.11.2020  31.4N  18.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.11.2020  31.2N  18.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.11.2020  32.0N  17.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM IOTA       ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N  76.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL312020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.11.2020  12.5N  76.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.11.2020  13.0N  77.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.11.2020  13.2N  79.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.11.2020  13.3N  81.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.11.2020  13.8N  83.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 17.11.2020  14.2N  84.6W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.11.2020  14.5N  86.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 11.1N 119.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.11.2020  11.1N 118.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 17.11.2020  11.3N 118.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2020  11.4N 118.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2020  11.7N 119.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2020  12.4N 119.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2020  13.1N 120.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2020  14.0N 121.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.11.2020  14.7N 122.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.11.2020  14.6N 123.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 15.8N 110.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.11.2020  16.2N 112.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2020  17.2N 113.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.11.2020  18.4N 116.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.11.2020  19.5N 117.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2020  20.9N 119.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.11.2020  21.9N 121.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  84 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 :  9.5N 125.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.11.2020   9.5N 125.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.11.2020   9.9N 126.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.11.2020  10.5N 127.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 150358