620 WTNT80 EGRR 130402 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.11.2020 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 72.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.11.2020 14.7N 72.8W WEAK 12UTC 13.11.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM ETA ANALYSED POSITION : 31.7N 79.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.11.2020 31.7N 79.7W WEAK 12UTC 13.11.2020 33.3N 76.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.11.2020 36.1N 70.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.11.2020 39.1N 61.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 15.11.2020 45.5N 49.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 15.11.2020 49.8N 41.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.11.2020 51.9N 34.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.11.2020 POST-TROPICAL TROPICAL STORM THETA ANALYSED POSITION : 31.9N 26.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL302020 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.11.2020 31.9N 26.7W MODERATE 12UTC 13.11.2020 32.2N 24.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.11.2020 31.6N 22.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.11.2020 30.9N 20.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.11.2020 30.6N 19.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.11.2020 30.5N 18.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.11.2020 31.1N 19.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 16.11.2020 32.7N 20.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2020 35.7N 20.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 13.4N 107.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 14.11.2020 13.8N 107.2W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 14.11.2020 14.1N 106.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.11.2020 14.5N 107.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.11.2020 15.0N 107.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.11.2020 16.1N 108.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.11.2020 17.2N 110.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2020 18.4N 112.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2020 19.5N 114.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.11.2020 20.8N 115.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.11.2020 22.3N 116.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.11.2020 23.9N 117.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 12.7N 78.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.11.2020 12.7N 78.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 16.11.2020 13.5N 80.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.11.2020 13.0N 81.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2020 13.8N 82.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 17.11.2020 14.8N 83.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.11.2020 15.8N 85.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.11.2020 15.8N 85.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.11.2020 15.9N 85.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 34.5N 72.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.11.2020 34.5N 72.1W WEAK 00UTC 17.11.2020 36.4N 65.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2020 40.0N 56.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.11.2020 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 12.0N 117.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.11.2020 12.5N 117.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.11.2020 13.5N 117.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.11.2020 14.2N 117.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.11.2020 14.5N 118.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 130402