912 
WTNT80 EGRR 111605

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 11.11.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.9N  69.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.11.2020  14.9N  69.4W     WEAK
 00UTC 12.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM ETA        ANALYSED POSITION : 25.6N  83.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.11.2020  25.6N  83.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 12.11.2020  27.9N  83.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2020  29.7N  82.7W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.11.2020  32.2N  79.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2020  34.2N  75.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2020  37.4N  69.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.11.2020  41.7N  58.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 15.11.2020  47.7N  49.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 15.11.2020  49.1N  45.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2020  50.0N  38.9W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.11.2020  53.9N  30.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.11.2020  POST-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM THETA      ANALYSED POSITION : 29.7N  34.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL302020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.11.2020  29.7N  34.0W   MODERATE
 00UTC 12.11.2020  30.9N  32.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.11.2020  31.6N  30.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.11.2020  31.9N  27.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2020  31.9N  26.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2020  31.7N  24.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2020  31.1N  23.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2020  30.6N  22.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.11.2020  30.9N  22.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.11.2020  32.0N  23.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.11.2020  34.7N  23.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.6N  81.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.11.2020  13.8N  82.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2020  14.7N  83.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2020  14.7N  85.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2020  16.1N  85.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 14.7N 106.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.11.2020  14.7N 106.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.11.2020  15.7N 106.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2020  16.4N 108.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2020  16.7N 110.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 111605