106 
WTNT80 EGRR 110402

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 11.11.2020

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 98L        ANALYSED POSITION : 15.7N  69.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL982020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.11.2020  15.7N  69.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM ETA        ANALYSED POSITION : 23.4N  84.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.11.2020  23.4N  84.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 11.11.2020  25.2N  84.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2020  26.8N  84.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2020  28.3N  83.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.11.2020  29.6N  82.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2020  30.9N  79.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2020  32.3N  77.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2020  33.6N  72.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2020  33.0N  68.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2020  32.0N  66.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM THETA      ANALYSED POSITION : 29.2N  36.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL302020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.11.2020  29.2N  36.0W   MODERATE
 12UTC 11.11.2020  29.9N  34.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2020  30.9N  32.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.11.2020  31.7N  30.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.11.2020  31.7N  29.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2020  32.0N  27.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2020  31.9N  25.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2020  31.6N  23.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2020  31.7N  22.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2020  32.2N  21.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.11.2020  33.8N  21.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.11.2020  36.6N  19.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2020  41.3N  15.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.9N 107.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.11.2020  14.2N 107.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.11.2020  14.7N 107.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2020  14.7N 107.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2020  15.5N 108.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2020  16.3N 109.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 12.6N  81.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 17.11.2020  13.1N  83.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 110402