733 
WTNT80 EGRR 080359

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.11.2020

        TROPICAL STORM ETA        ANALYSED POSITION : 19.7N  81.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL292020

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.11.2020  19.7N  81.1W   MODERATE
 12UTC 08.11.2020  20.9N  79.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.11.2020  23.0N  79.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.11.2020  24.4N  81.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.11.2020  24.3N  84.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.11.2020  23.4N  85.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.11.2020  22.8N  86.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.11.2020  23.2N  85.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2020  23.5N  85.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2020  22.9N  86.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.11.2020  22.2N  86.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2020  20.6N  88.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2020  19.1N  90.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :  8.3N 142.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.11.2020   8.3N 142.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.11.2020   8.4N 143.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.11.2020   8.5N 143.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.11.2020   8.4N 145.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.11.2020   9.2N 147.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 28.1N  45.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.11.2020  28.1N  45.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 09.11.2020  28.4N  42.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.11.2020  29.8N  38.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 32.8N  28.6E

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.11.2020  32.8N  28.6E     WEAK
 12UTC 10.11.2020  33.3N  28.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.11.2020  33.9N  27.4E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.11.2020  33.2N  26.2E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2020  32.5N  26.2E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2020  31.9N  26.3E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.11.2020  31.5N  26.5E     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2020        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 30.5N  33.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.11.2020  30.5N  33.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.11.2020  31.0N  30.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.11.2020  33.3N  26.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.11.2020  35.3N  21.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.11.2020  37.6N  16.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2020  38.1N  13.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.11.2020  38.9N   9.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 15.8N  72.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.11.2020  15.8N  72.0W     WEAK


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 080359